Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at 貓腳印松江店 RDO店冠賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Water Fractal | 6.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +4.3 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Diablerie | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rictus Tiding | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Speed Potion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tend the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fertile Grounds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperial Alchemist | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sasha, Purifying Acolyte | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Floral Arrangement | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Obscured Offering | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Gyre | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |